12/26/2009

Republican states expected to pick up House seats

Who knows how badly the Obama administration is going to muck around with the census count, but based on the current census projections the Republicans would have gotten seven more electoral votes in 2008 if the census changes had been in effect back then.

The projections offer some long-term encouragement for Republicans. President Barack Obama won nine of the 10 states slated to lose seats, and Democrats hold congressional delegation majorities in all but one (Louisiana).

"Based upon the results of the 2008 election for president but with the electoral vote for the 2012 election, the Republicans would see a slight gain under the projected apportionment of 7 votes," Polidata's Clark Bensen told POLITICO on Thursday. "Twelve of the 18 states with shifts voted for Obama in 2008 while 6 voted for McCain. Nine of the 12 Obama states would lose seats, while five of the six McCain states would gain." . . .

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